Economist Election Model 2024

Economist Election Model 2024. Ray fair at yale runs one of the oldest models to use economic data to predict us election results. It predicts vote shares for president and the us house as a function of real.

The economist’s model of america’s presidential election estimates each major candidate’s chances of winning each state and the overall electoral college. It’s interesting that 538’s 2024 election model (“based on [morris’s] past forecasting work”) gives a quite different prediction.